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Off to the Super Bowl!! January 25, 2016

Posted by bluedevil32 in experience, NFL, Uncategorized.
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As what feels like a displaced fan at times, the highs and lows can be lonely! Thankfully, social media and the few like-minded friends make it a bit easier to spread the passion. Sports make us go through the whole spectrum of emotions – there is a brutal honesty in sports. At the same time, there can be a sweetness, a euphoric cry. Games that send you into an abyss (Super Bowl XLVIII) where the whole world melted away along with my Broncos’ chances. Luckily, it was quick. Seattle pummeled them from the first kick and the initial safety. It was like preparing for a slow band-aid but someone yanked it off once they grabbed enough.

Last year, it was revenge. Anything to see the Seahawks have their joy ripped from their hands. I remember the interception vividly. I surrounded myself by a good friend, new friends and strangers at a home. Consolation was that I won squares (moneys!) and a comeback for the ages in cornhole at half-time. Down 4-19 and had to cancel to keep going. It only seemed right that things continued to go my way. I recall only 1 or 2 Seahawks fans that were really only cheering against the Patriots. The other 28-30 people? New England fans for the day (I remember fans of the Vikings, 49ers, Packers, Broncos, Panthers) all watching intensely. Sports are rewarding for the quick, deep connections that are established – our brains groove the moments forever – people, plays, players, teams, date & time melded together for future versions of us to recall at the mention of a play, name, even a commercial!

I am spoiled. I have deep connections to generally winning franchises in the form of the Duke Blue Devils, Detroit Red Wings, Atlanta Braves, Denver Broncos, Bayern Munich. The Sacramento Kings are my lone-championship-less squad. But guess what? If it’s that great of a year, they’ll go all “We Believe” on the exact team that started it, and if I’m blindly biased (as all great fans should be), that will charge them to a title in just 7 few years! The Braves have won 1 title but were so good for so many years. The Red Wings during the 90s and start of 00s were dynastic. The Broncos had the late 80s and finally got over the hump with back-to-back titles in 97-98. Duke has spread their titles out since 2000 – doing their best when not thought of as the consensus favorite – hmmm out of the top 15 this year??

The Broncos, this year, have followed a similar pattern. Last year felt like a lot of pressure after the wipeout in the Super Bowl. New pattern – defense! 6-0 start with a sorry offense. A faux resurgence with Brock until that came crashing down during ugly second halves. Then the Peyton energy boost in the playoffs. So far, I’m just crossing my fingers. Health. A healthy defense for the first time in 4-5 years (as long as Wolfe is fine).
I couldn’t watch the 3rd Patriots drive inside our 20. Didn’t want to blow it. The offense looked so bad. The defense was the one that deserved to win it. Brady did a fantastic job of avoiding 4…5…6 sacks? Any of which could have ended the game. Gronk is a beast – and that truly worries me for Greg Olsen. But they got it done – big INT on the 2-pt conversion. Lots of pressure.

We go through a lot as fans. I won’t pretend to know what it feels like to be on the field experiencing it. But that’s the player’s jobs. For fans – it can be life. Luckily, I like to think that it’s just a joyful privilege that we can experience so much from watching a game.

Thank you, sports. Thank you, Broncos! Let’s go on this last, little ride with Peyton.

Let’s go Denver! Let’s go Broncos Country! #OrangeCrush #NoFlyZone #OutonTop

Week 9 FanDuel LU Review – Working on Higher Average Scores November 9, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Uncategorized.
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First off, I have used/tried a plethora of Optimizers, and to date, I’m not sure any of them are excellent as they stand. It comes down to tweaks, feel, and adjustments – then the optimizer can fill in as you see fit. Having said that, the apparent leader from where I stand, is a combination of FantasyLabs with their trends, projections, models, and game-by-game analysis. The information is all in front – it’s up to you what you do with the information. FantasyPros has been a blessing as well for me, until I get my full usage of FantasyLabs (awaiting Android before committing). Between the fun Start/Sit contest each week (this week went terribly, last week I finished ahead of every expert) and the line-up contest for FanDuel & DraftKings, the projections are crowd-sourced and demonstrate the feel for players across the league each week.

Top line-up for FD so far: 161.14 points (no players left), good for 4th in Mike Vick’s 100 person league so far.
QB D. Carr RB Ingram RB McFadden WR Crabtree WR A. Brown WR D. Thomas TE G. Olsen K J. Brown DEF Bills
RB’s were a bit disappointing as well as Demaryius’ line. Greg Olsen and Josh Brown helped make that up, though. And clearly, Derek Carr/Crabtree stack worked out with Antonio Brown (284 yards! Christ!)

Second line-up for FD: 155.56 (2 entries)
QB Rodgers RB McFadden RB Langford (to go tonight) WR A Brown WR Crabtree WR Cobb TE Olsen K Walsh DEF Falcons
Rodgers/Cobb recovered in the 4th quarter nicely and paired with the WR’s Crabtree/Brown, did well.

Worst line-up for FD: 95.76 (1 entry)
QB Winston RB D. Lewis (hurt) RB D. Martin (crappy) WR M. Evans (drops aplenty) WR Odell WR Cooper TE Reed K McManus DEF Saints – Evans couldn’t catch what Winston wanted him to. Martin didn’t get to 20 carries. Odell/Cooper saved days with TD’s each, as did Reed (nonexistent thru 3 qtrs). Saints got shellacked by Mariota. Happens when you try to get cute with line-ups – too many Bucs!

I’ll recap Draftkings tomorrow and tell the results of my Fanduel line-ups.

For now, good luck people. Hope for a shoot-out tonight? I think so.

Week 5 Quick Review & Week 6 Start October 14, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Daily fantasy football, DFS, Draftkings, experience, FanDuel, NFL, Stacks, Week 5, Week 6.
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So, I’m going to keep this brief. I got way too ballsy this past week. Too many tournaments, too much risk, and not enough lineups to increase variation. I got slammed with wrong choices in having Demaryius / Julio in almost all line-ups. I got hurt by Lacy’s lack of pass-catching (and too much emphasis on home success for GB) & JC’s injury. TE & D/ST picks were bad, as well. Charles Clay didn’t do anything & Bennett was targeted 11 times but caught only 4 in what played out as an underperform. Jaguars got shellacked and the Giants, for whatever reason, created minimal pressure Sunday night. Well – that’s a lot of bad in spots that statistically should have been consistently high-floor.

So, the good? Rivers & Bell saved my ass Monday night so I didn’t get blanked. I wasn’t on ABrown due to Vick’s lack of rapport with him, which was good in a fade-case. Allen Robinson performed with Blake Bortles (who I was on in a few leagues). Rivers had a few good games. Brady/Edelman worked out after the 4th qtr touchdown but Gronk disappointed for how expensive he was. Dion Lewis was productive. I was not on Devonta Freeman and he continued to have a nice game. I also faded a good Doug Martin spot (suspect weather, minimal passing potentially). I figured that I would have scored with a few lineups in the high 140’s but I didn’t. Only one lineup hit 165+ and cashed on DK.


Week 6
I will try to do better – buckled down and read through more of Jonathan Bales’ series Fantasy Football for Smart People. Staying consistent with bankroll management and being diligent with a process weekly will be vital in success. To compile the statistics, I’ll likely use a trial for DailyFantasyNerd or Fantasy Labs to ensure I have the data in one spot. I could create a page for myself, but that will be fine-tuning what I want to use consistently.

So, let’s start with defenses. I read through Bill Barnwell of Grantland’s NFL Statistical Temperature. Without looking at this week’s schedule, I pared down defenses that I would be interested in playing, depending on home/away, weather, opponent, in no particular order.

Denver, Arizona, GB, NYJ (w/out a D TD so far) are the top tier. TEN, DET, NE, CIN, SEA, CAR would be the next, likely. PHI, MIN and ATL have been making plays but could be inconsistent depending on game flow.

RB’s – Forte, Foster, TJ Yeldon look good so far. Ryan Mathews has been productive. Do we continue to ride Devonta?
WR’s – Hopkins is just gobbling up targets for ppr leagues. AJ Green could be interesting – I feel like Dalton alternates between his receivers/tight ends. Just focuses in on them. EIfert was last week so Green could be this week. We cannot forget about TASER, Bryan Mears’ new statistic – anticipatory of red zone regression for touchdowns (potentially). Golden Tate, Amari Cooper, Demaryius Thomas & Keenan Allen headline it. Of those, I’d think Cooper & Golden Tate are most likely to score (Denver needs to get NEAR the red zone first and Keenan may be left out since Antonio is back). Let’s flip a coin between Hurns/Robinson again or play them both – that’s worked before. Snead on a Thursday night could be a fade position, or minimal play because of the cheap cost still. We all THINK it will be high-scoring… but will it on a Thursday with Julio in pain? I’d like to think that it won’t be and be in better position Sunday.

TE’s – I’ll have some action with Gronk & Gates. Chargers will have to throw against GB. Eifert played incredibly on Sunday (thanks to that for my main season-long league). Barnidge is apparently a) a real-life football player and b) target monster. Charles Clay is near the top of TASER as well, but with Tyrod potentially out, I may want to avoid that Bills line-up altogether.

These are my initial thoughts – I’ll see today and tomorrow what I can put together and post going forward.

Good luck to the ALDS teams today in their Game 5’s!

Happy to say my Red Wings in NHL are an impressive 3-0-0 with a +7 differential to go with the Broncos 5-0. Keep it up!

Overlay Sites – Money to be Made! October 11, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Uncategorized.
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As we near an hour before Week 5 kick-offs, I wanted to point out 2 major sites that I use when determining some last-minute submissions.

Super Lobby by @Dailyfantasylobby breaks down the overlays/rake of any games across an array of platforms. As we near kick-off, you can see how many people will often rush to those games as people realize the value of the available spots.

Another instance is done by @DailyOverlay Rake Tool which will display all games with > $5000 in prizes.

Both of those tools can be edited to show games of your preferred type (50/50, double ups, GPP, Leagues, etc…).

Right now, it appears that FanDuel has a #2 NFL Rush out for $5 to win $100k in prizes. Draftkings has the NFL $100k Playaction ($100k guaranteed) for $3. Both with nearly 50% of the remaining entries left. That is some serious cash that would go available to the players that did get entries in.

I had a friend who I showed this to for an MLB tournament a few weeks ago after he had just joined DK. There was sufficient overlay of maybe $50k. He threw $20 in and won $75, basically for being in the upper third.

Remember, you still have to place well, but if you’re anticipating that you’re a better player than 66-75%+ of players, then these are the opportunities to cash in on.

Good luck Week 5!

Go Broncos! (Obligated to cheer harder for my squad today after I was disappointed by my Golden Bears’ loss last night in Utah).

Week 4 Results – DK Fail & FanDuel Success October 7, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Daily fantasy football, DFS, Draftkings, experience, FanDuel, gym, NFL, Stacks, week 4.
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Yup, that’s right! FanDuel – there wasn’t a contest that I didn’t place in. Mainly due to the fact that my lineups did very well in all of the 50/50’s, DoubleUps and free-rolls. However, on draftkings, where I played a majority of tournaments, I was very close to min. cash or not in the money at all.

For week 3, I was gone/without service all weekend, so the few lineups I had in, I minimally cashed/lost. 2 weeks in a row on DK that I have lost a few $ here and there (not to mention the fun runs I took at LoL Championships as well as Wed-Fri spread of MLB games – not wise when teams were already clinched or didn’t care).

  • Fanduel results:
    5 entries played – 4 wins – 2 ticket (survivor advance, barely)
    I don’t remember where I read it, but there was an analysis done on larger 50/50’s where, assuming you’re on average better than a majority of players, you have a greater success rate in larger pools. So far, that’s proved to be correct.

    • In $350k Double-Up (with nearly 75k entries), I placed 5842 with a score of 123.74 ($5 entry for $10 winnings).
      Dalton/Green stack with LMurray, Karlos, Demaryius, Amari, MBennett, MBryant/Falcons D stack (high score)
    • FPFC Qualifier Double-Up (152 of 521) with score of 111.94 ($10 entry for $20 winnings)
      Carr/Crabtree stack w/ Karlos, JCharles, JuJones (ouch), JaJones, Barnidge (savior), Hauschka/Seattle D stack
    • Excl Football Guys Contest didn’t go that well (777 of 3119) with 110.84 ($2 entry $2 win)
      same as FPFC except swapped JamesJones/Barnidge for Amari & Martellus
    • FBGFC Qualifier Double-Up tournament (32 of 1097) with 130.06 ($10 entry $20 win & ticket later in season)
      Cam, Forte, Karlos, Julio, Amari, Moncrief, Martellus, Josh Lambo (nice 14), Falcons D (yup)
    • $250k Sun NFL Survivor Tourney (42406 of 57471) with 88.54 ($5 entry, ticket won, advanced)
      Dalton/Green stack with Randle/LMurray(ouch comb 13), demaryius, stevieJ (ugh), ebron (injured), mcmanus/Denver D stack (decent scores)
    • FantasyPros $2000 contest for saved lineups – placed 65 of 951 for $20 credit on FD (devonta and andy dalton)
  • So I found that I like stacking kickers with the defenses so far. Relatively positive correlation and it has worked with a select few kickers/defense – good field position relations, typically.
  • Draftkings results:
    • As I mentioned, this didn’t go as well. Likely because I played in too many tournaments.
    • In the double-ups I played, I cashed in all 3. So for those keeping count, I was 6 for 6.
    • Same lineup for 3 double-ups score of 136.74 (62 of 217), (99 of 340), (423 of 1135) for 3x $1 entries, $2 each of winnings
      Carr/Crabtree stack, Gore, Karlos, Cobb, Deandre (2nd half!!), JuJones, Bennett (yup), Broncos D
    • I played all-day Sunday teams and had a ~112 score, while I played early Sunday match lineups and had those go for 147 and 144 for winners.
    • 2x $.25 Arcade & $2k First Down ($1 entry, $2 win) earlies for $.50 winnings on $.25 entries (144.66 score)
      Tyrod/Karlos/Clay/Bills D stack w/ Forte, AJ Green, T.Y., Deandre (savior), AllenRob
    • Had a ThursSun Line-up that did terribly (103.96) for $3 entry and 0 winnings
      Flacco/SmithSr/MaxxWill/Ravens stack, Leveon, Ivory (rb successes), ABrown, Rishard, Jarvis (wr duds)
    • Played $0.25 Quarter Arcade (Sun only) for $1 entry, $2 winnings (147.56 score)
      Rodgers, Devonta (great), Hyde, Keenan, Amari, JuJones, Fleener (good), Karlos, Raiders D
    • Daily Dollar ($50k) $1 entry for $2 win (136.74 score for 9220 of 52596)
      Carr/Crabtree stack, Gore, Karlos, Cobb, Deandre, JuJones, Bennett, Broncos D
    • 130.16 score didn’t work for $1 $150k First Down or $0.25 Arcade
      Rodgers/Packers, Devonta, Gore, Evans, JuJones, Moncrief, Olsen, Karlos
    • Another Flacco / Ravens stack for Thurs-Sun produced the 112, which didn’t go well in any of the 3 entries (-$5).
  • So we’ll see. Seems consistent with stacks where I’ll go 2 for 4 and hope that the stacks hit bigger. This week, they didn’t do as much because of the chalk not performing as well. The few good calls at TE and Devonta saved those stacks to at least cash.

We’ll see how the next week goes – I may end up trying more double-ups to at least build bankroll.

To next week!

Week 2 NFL DFS Recap September 23, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Daily fantasy football, DFS, experience, NFL, Week 2.
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I woke up this morning to news from the lineup optimizer on FantasyPros: “CONGRATS! You came in 14th out of 1,728 players in our DraftKings Lineup Contest. Claim your $20 DraftKings Prize: You’re all set. The $20 prize will be credited to the DraftKings use”

Great news! I only entered 2 lineups since I had forgot about it, and my Ravens stack did very well.

QB Flacco, RB Forsett, RB Lynch, FLEX Hyde (two weaknesses), WR A Brown, WR A Robinson, WR J Landry, TE Gillmore, D Ravens

I have really enjoyed fantasypros – found them last year before the season so I have a pro subscription for seasonal fantasy and have found their optimizer one of my favorites. Nearly all of the data is pooled from experts across the industry.
First, let’s speak of Fanduel, where I played 3 lineups in a total of 6 contests. I had 2 H2H (one was free, other for $2), 1 50/50 league at $1, 1 DoubleUp for $2, another for $10, and a $4k tourney for $1. I won both H2H and the $10 double up. Something like $16.00 in fees for a simple winnings of $23, +$7 (~38%). The TeamRankings Football Championship Week 2 was my best scoring lineup – 123.2, good for 83 of 535. Lineup was saved by Antonio Brown (32) and Larry Fitz (33.2), Jordan Matthews garbage time TD (17), and consistent scoring from Bailey (8) and Texans D (6), but dragged by Brees, Abdullah, Lynch, ASJ.
99.9 was enough to win a the $2 and free H2H’s, rolling with Carson Palmer (22.2), John Brown (7), L Miller (6.7), Lynch (7.7), Garcon (11.3), ODB (24.1), Eifert (12.9), Josh Brown (9) and Ravens D (-1). RB’s didn’t end up haunting me in the H2H, thankfully.
With DraftKings, I had a lineup go for 188.66, one for 180.36, one for 171.96, 129.9, 122, 89.36, 80.26, 115.9, or 126.3.
  • I played 5 H2H’s – one lost on Monday night. I went 1-1 in $5 H2H (net -$1), 1-2 in $1 H2H (net -$1.20).
  • I played 3 freerolls and went winless.
  • Where I did make my money was in $0.25 arcades, $1 and $3 tourneys.
    • I placed 1405 of 115k for $7 on a $1 entry (net $6) with 180.36
    • I played 5 quarter arcades (3-2) for 3 entries won (net $3.75) – 188.66, 180.36 and 171.96.
    • I played 2 $1 entry to $10k gpp and finished 149 and 151 of 11.5k entries (180.36 and 180.26) for (net $8)
  • I found great success with stacking Pitt (Big Ben, Deangelo, ABrown, Heath) as well as mixing in Woodhead, TWill, and the Cardinals D.
  • Flacco, Forsett (eh), Gillmore and Ravens D (eh) with receivers ABrown, Allen Robinson, and Jarvis. Marshawn was not a success but needed a big horse to anchor the RB spots.
  • I had Saints and Eagles stacks that did not perform very well. Luckily, they were good enough in h2h games, saved by other receiver plays.

Until next week, see you!

Thoughts of the Day – GenY finance, Daily fantasy ‘expert’-testing, other questions September 17, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Altucher, DFS, experience, finance, gym, PGA, questions, Scutify, social, training.
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Every day I receive a post from James Altucher @jaltucher – he’s an author of one of USA Today’s “12 Best Business Books of All-Time” Choose Yourself, which describes at length the power of one’s self, as well as a successful (and that does not mean he hasn’t failed) entrepreneur, hedge fund manager, asset manager, columnist, as well as podcast producer. His valuable insights, podcasts and publications enlighten us to choose yourself and your passions to create revenue streams aplenty. He simply asks a lot of questions of many people to see what has driven them, and in turn, learn for himself.

In my recent conversations, I have noticed that this is a skill that is falling out of favor very easily of many people – and more so, whether they’re just more of who I come into contact with, but Gen Y and Millennials. So, in light of my observations, I would like to go over what I observed/questioned today.

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Daily Fantasy NFL Week 1 Results September 15, 2015

Posted by bluedevil32 in Daily fantasy football, DFS, NFL, Week 1.
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So, after 1 week I am in the black quite a bit, despite an overall losing record! Who doesn’t like those tournaments?!

Last year I was going more off of a feel for playing and breaking even. This year, I will look for tournament opportunities for overlay and pad with a better performance on h2h, triple ups or 50/50s. Fortunately, for overlays (where value is much higher per entry because the guaranteed money does not meet the number of entries), I stumbled upon a number of sites that aid in finding these. Namely, Super Lobby! which combines Draftkings and Fanduel (among others) to show overlay in tournaments. Incredibly useful for the people who are trying to be smart about entry fees.

For those that are curious how I did this past week, continue reading. Otherwise, I will post who I’m looking at and what I’m doing for Week 2 in the coming days! Again, if you’re looking to play or take a shot: Draftkings link! – Remember to search for a promo code on your favorite fantasy / insider website to valuable premium subscriptions (Rotogrinders, 4for4, fantasypros, teamrankings). Fanduel if you prefer .5 ppr and Kickers

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Simul-Diary of NBA Finals Game 7 June 21, 2013

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NBA Finals 2013 Game 7
Let’s pick up where I finished my sandwich: 3:30 left in the 1st quarter. 15-10 San Antonio. The ESPN Insider ‘cappers were leaning under. I definitely agreed. Last 3 Game 7’s were all no higher than 170 points or so. This is on pace for that.

3:00 left – looks like refs are letting them play ever since they ticky-tacked Ginobli out earlier with his second. Lot of banging going down low. 

2:12 – Surprised Duncan can’t take Birdman easier. I’m agreeing with JVG – defense is not the greatest. Offenses look notably tired. It’s amazing how hard slowing down LBJ is. Testament to how great he is and how good the Pop adjustments over the series have been.

1:27– Ginobli misses a stepback 3 right after Battier canned a 3. Then the Heat come down, Chalmers miss and Birdman cleans up a tip. 15-15. All Tied.

48.9 – Lebron throws up a knuckleball (gross). Diaw’s box out was just a grab, foul. Right after? Battier 3 to take the lead at 18-15. That’s [2011-2012 playoff] Battier off of none other than a Ray Allen drive. What year is this?

21.9 – Spurs answer to the first Heat lead? Leonard iso from the top of the key and draws a foul on Lebron on a great take to the hole.
Ouch. Promptly misses a free throw. Looks like those problems aren’t solved. Hits 2nd. 16-18 Heat.

12.2 – Just saw Coach Pop’s interview is coming up. That’ll be hilarious. What do the Heat get for their last possession – nasty (not good nasty) fadeaway jumper leaning out of bounds. That’s not what they wanted. 16-18 Heat end of quarter.

That LBJ commercial with the headphones – hoping that goes away after the finals but it definitely draws your attention.

Coach Pop got one question from Doris Burke. And he answered with “Bad offense”. Very thorough. Thanks, Pop.

2nd Quarter

11:26 – Solid grab by Splitter on Birdman. Doesn’t seem the refs appreciate the little things on the loose balls today. Response? Battier 3 (now 3-3) to make it 21-16.

10:48 – Splitter ugliness. He’s now -3 quickly.

10:30 – Scratch that, TP heard it and made it -1. Get Splitter out!

10:03 – Maybe I spoke too soon because the Spurs get a turnover by Chalmers that is converted for Spurs points by Splitter on a beautiful pass by TP. 20-21. Sheesh. (TS +1)

Just showed that Ray Allen has 11 Game 7’s in history. Bill Russell has 10 Game 7’s. All wins. It’s ridiculous how much of a winner he was. Nick, I’ve decided – Russell is my #1 Center. Sorry Kareem.

9:30 – Heat just got 3 boards off of maybe 5 tips? Results in a Chalmers reverse lay-up to stop the Spurs’ run. Then TP gets rejected by Wade on the weak side (while getting creamed, no call).

9:00 – On the inbounds, TP gets fouled cutting to the lane. Heat should probably review “keep sight of man and ball” because they suck at it. 22-23.

8:47 – Good shot by Wade from outside – knees looked decent there. 22-25.

8:40 – Pop sounded a bit like John Cusack in 2012 there. Kinda worried me. Not a good foreshadowing. TP and Dwade trade buckets before a ridiculous and-1 by Duncan. Duncan going to the line after drawing a third on Bosh. 26-27.

7:46 – Yeah, almost midway through the 2nd quarter and that was the first mention of Bosh. Can you tell how much I like him? 27-27.

7:22 – Keep trying to stress how good defense is in this game. Totally disagree. Tired legs and shitty offense. Duncan couldn’t handle the TP pass – little low but come on, it’s not like you’re almost 40!

6:40 – Timeout and TP and LBJ talking to the ref. Duncan comes over and grabs TP by the jersey. Drags him away. Awesome. Still 27-27. JVG mentions how it was 3 NBA Finals MVP’s right there in the mix and that made me think how hilarious/awesome it would be if Finals MVP’s were as random as Super Bowl ones.

6:30 – Ridiculous LBJ and-1 as he throws it up over his shoulder and gets the foul. On the other side, TP gets shoved – no call. BOOOO!

5:40 – James feeling it because he just took a total iso at top of the key 3. 27-33. At least Juwan Howard is cheering? I like the nod. Play the percentages. 29% from downtown in the Finals – keep shooting.

5:05 – Gary Neal prayer at the shot clock expiration for 3 off glass. 30-33. Then Chalmers for some reason goes into iso-mode and gets a shot to rattle in. TP to the bench for rest. So the Spurs go back to Duncan inside (who has 3 steals…).

3:30 – Not sure what just happened. Leonard gets hacked, blocked, misses, loses the ball to Birdman. Tipped on the way down twice before DWade just gets a jumper on the left wing. 32-37. Then Ginobli eurosteps through the defense for a gorgeous reverse. 34-37.

2:45 – Can’t let LBJ get a corner 3 from the right side. Saw his percentages the other day and he shoots way too well from there. 36-40. Foul on the hip of Danny Green low. 38-40. For everything the Heat do, the Spurs have an answer. And that was a shove off but they’ll take it if that means LBJ throws up a heat-check 3, which turns into a transition bucket for the Spurs. Tied. 40’s.

1:32 – I can practically hear Pop silently daring Lebron to shoot these threes. Tough to see that Ginobli moving with the eurostep to get a charge. Not to mention Wade shoved him… and then gets a beautiful fade lefty hook (pretty!)  from the free throw line. 42-42.
24.5 – Green puts up an ugly floater – he’s not TP. He’s 0-2 or 3, not sure. Wade critical so far at the half as he buries one with under a second half. 7-12 with 14 points. 15 points for LBJ. 13/10 for TD/TP but TP hasn’t been efficient. Not many foul calls. 44-46 Heat.

Skipped halftime show. Trying to finish, sorry ABC/TNT fellows.

Sheesh, 35% FG% for SA. 43% for Miami. 5-14 from downtown for Miami, 2-7 for the Spurs. +11 margin in free throws for the Spurs. Yup, those stats seemed a bit backward from the Spurs’ wins, but I’m sure that they will take it considering they are only down 2.

Like to point out that the Spurs have 24 points in the paint, 2 threes and 14 free throws. Yes, that’s all 44 of their points. Most efficient shots.

3rd Quarter

12:00 – Heat start with a miss and Leonard comes down and hits a nice right-handed jump hook on a drive/pivot in the lane. 46-46.

11:00 – Chalmers has a drive and deep floater to pull back ahead. 48-46.

10:45 – Leonard takes Miller in the post, steps back and shoots right over Miller for an and-1. Does he hit the free throw? NOPE. That is going to suck later. 48-48.

10:15 – Duncan can’t buy a foul on that drive. Ends up giving LBJ a wide open 3 on the other end after a miniscrum. Right corner. That’s his best one. 48-51.

9:27 – Hahaha, Chalmers just picks up a foul that likely could’ve been a charge on him. He quickly starts toward LBJ saying “Trust me, trust me”. Pretty sure LBJ wasn’t hearing it because he followed it up with a “Come on, man.” 1 of 2. 50-52.

8:48 – TERRIBLE PASS by Green on a break after an ugly Chalmers miss from downtown. Leads to a LBJ pass to Wade for the dunk. 54-52. Good follow up defense on the next possession by Bosh on Duncan. For 3 fouls, he’s doing well this quarter.

7:50 – And right as I say that, more good defense after a timeout but they come in to Duncan, fadeaway jumper that he drills. 54-54. Next play? Chalmers airball 3. Awesome gameplan. Not sure Spoelstra and Lebron drew that up for the second half. Highly doubt it.

7:05 – I don’t mind being on the record as saying I want to see T-Mac on the floor here instead of Danny Green. Can’t be any worse, right? Balky knee Wade versus back spasm T-Mac? Danny Green needs to hit a three before Pop has a fit. (Another miss right after).

5:55 – I thought a chicken wing/elbow was an offensive foul but no. Pretty drive by Wade otherwise. 54-56. Then BOOM Danny Green 3. Hallelujah. He walked to the line and pulled up. 57-56. Guess who shot the next one? Yup, Mario Chalmers. Guess what happened? Yup, a brick.

4:49 – Too much dribbling on the Spurs possession next by Parker. Yuck. Still stressing the bad offense thing.

4:30 – Shit, another Lebron 3. Really? 57-59.

3:45 – Smart foul on Neal after Parker doesn’t get a layup high enough off the glass resulting in a Heat transition. Foul Lebron on the floor before he passes back to RayRay. And then he hits again from downtown. 57-62.

3:24 – Kawhi just beasts through Ray Allen and Chris Bosh for a reverse layup and-1. Hits the free throw! 60-62.

3:12 – I just don’t understand why Lebron can shove a hand off of him without it being offensive and then take another step and get a foul on the shot. It’s either offensive or defensive and on the floor. Stupid.60-64 after two free throws.

2:55 – Yeah… Diaw 3 pointer to get within 1. Amazing. This must be ‘06? Then he fakes a 3 on the next possession and gets a high-low pass to Duncan for the make. Lead. 65-64.

And my buddy who just landed just blew the result of the game for me. That was fun while it lasted. But… let’s finish this up somewhat half-ass blind?

2:18 – Ginobli 3-6 with 10 points and no turnovers. Just driving all day. Still a quiet, important 10.

1:36 – Ray’s 0-4 this game. Ugliness and rushed. Then Lebron fades too much on the next play for a brick. 67-66 Spurs.

46.4 – Wow, Gary Neal got a huge jump and running hook shot to drop in to make it 69-66. Battier follow to tie it up at 69. Jeez. 4-4. I like Shane but not for the Heat in a Game 7… come on.

5.2 – Ginobli with a ridiculous angle to pull the lead 71-69. Followed by a pullup jumper at the buzzer by Chalmers from about 28 feet. It’s definitely turning into one of those games. 71-72 Heat end of 3.

4th Quarter

12:00 – Duncan and Parker start the 4th on the bench. Leonard gets another runner that didn’t go followed by a Battier three to go 5-5 and extend the lead to 71-75. This may get out of hand, you can feel it.

11:08 – “Let’s Go heat” chant rings out and it just doesn’t sound genuine. You can tell only ¼ of the fans are on their feet. Quite depressing. They don’t deserve a ring.

10:28 – Nobody blocks out Leonard and he gets the free tip-in. That was only his 2nd board of the 2nd half after 10 in the first. 73-75.

10:07 – Lebron seems flabbergasted after getting whistled for his 2nd foul. And the Heat fans are decent at the “Ref you suck” call. Nice.

9:42 – Great block by Duncan on Wade but James is there behind him for a follow foul. Hilarious to see a lane violation. Birdman falls into the lane after seeing Duncan go in. Yuck, Parker dribbles it right off his foot and has to jump it up with Wade. Balky knees vs Frenchman? Wade wins. 73-77.

8:51 – Battier finally misses a three. Turns into a transition bucket for Parker who lobs it up over 3 Heat as Duncan follows in for the two. Wow. 75-77.
JVG mentions Parker looks exhausted. Certainly. Parker is clearly exerting every last ounce of energy and it may not be enough.

7:34 – Danny Green sucks right now. If this causes the Heat to get a clear-path foul, I’ll be irritated. Wade was on the ground. Weak foul, too. No clear-path. Not deprived of an opportunity to score. Correct. Wade gets a jumper anyway. 75-81.

6:57 – I feel Pop saw Ginobli moving without the ball before he even knew what he was doing. That man’s amazing. Then he follows it up by drawing an offensive foul on Bosh and a beautifully quick layup on the left side to make it 77-81.

6:09 – Bosh still has 0 points. Love it.

5:38 – Jumpers, jumpers and more jumpers for the Heat. Midrange all day and they’re dropping for Wade and Lebron. Those are the exact shots you want them to take by the numbers. Issue is that those are averages. This is an above-average game. What can you do?

4:53 – After a terribly long three point shot by Bosh (still 0 points), Parker gets a transition pass to Duncan, who gets fouled. They’re hanging in… 79-83.

4:30 – Lebron with another midrange that goes in. Then Ginobli comes down and drills a 3. Quickly a steal on the inbounds but passes to Green. Guess what? Miss! No tie. 82-85 Heat.

3:21 – Battier 3 in the corner on a breakaway pass from Lebron after Duncan throws it away trying to find Manu. Holy shit. They come immediately down and get Chris Bosh to foul Duncan for number 5 for an and-1. 85-88 still down 3. 24 for Duncan. 6-7 for Battier. 18 points. Old men, Unite!

1:58 – Kawhi, Duncan, Manu vs Lebron, Wade, Battier. Oh, damn! Chalmers must’ve heard me because he tried to take the whole Spurs team on, again. (Lebron disappointed). By the way, before that, Kawhi hit a 3 to get within 2. And now Chalmers misses a free throw. Good one, Mario! 88-90 after the second misses, also!

1:26 – Sad face, Leonard, sad face. Short irons a three. That was like needing a 7-iron for a par 3 and instead you bust out a 9. And Battier damn near clinched this game.

48.3 – Duncan doesn’t take his time on an iso in the paint on Battier. ImageTotally rushed, expecting help. That was disappointing. Finger roll just rolls out. Damn. Timeout, Heat. And that was EMOTION by Duncan, ladies and gentleman. I have $100 on “FUCK!” yelled inside his jersey. Any takers? 88-90.

39.0 – Out of the timeout, we get a Lebron iso dribbling out the clock. Midrange. Drilled. Not sure Pop could live with that on a timeout. I bet he said “don’t let lebron do anything”. Leonard played that way shallow. 88-92, Heat.

23.5 – Ew, out of the timeout they get Duncan in the post and back to Manu. Heat switched it, expertly and Manu jumps out of bounds with nowhere to go. Tosses right to ‘Bron. Championship, guaranteed. I’m very sad for the Spurs. 88-94.

16.3 – Realization? When Lebron is hitting midrange shots, there isn’t a better player. I’d like to bring those numbers up. When he shoots > 45%, what is his record? When he shoots < 45%, what is it? That seems like a decent split considering those are the least efficient shots in basketball. Heat win. 95-88.

Russell and Heat
Popovich is a class act. And I also imagine him having way more fun in all-star games where he gets to coach everyone stress-free. I have a feeling he’s spent a lot of time with a bunch of the other players from other teams.

Lost in this until Dwayne talked to Doris – Ray Allen got another title. Congrats. And Dwayne, you’re screwed at 37. Your knees are shot.

Can we get Birdman flashbacks from previous years tonight? Please.

David Stern finishes with what he wants – a game 7 with his marquee player/team. He didn’t get his Lakers/Kobe/Lebron/Heat.

Of note:
Tony Parker finished with 0 points on 0-4 shooting in the second half. Either that hammy/ankle started acting up or he just didn’t have the legs. Exhaustion may’ve set in at halftime. Danny Green could’ve easily swung this game in his favor if he hit that 3 that would’ve tied it. Can’t really blame Manu for forcing the issue at the end. Timmy missed that gimme on Battier that would have tied it.

So many what ifs that can only be answered in neverland.

So this season ends just like that. Good thing we have the NBA Draft coming up shortly. Here’s to a great new season in the coming months!

Now, can we skip to late August for football/important part of baseball?

 

 

Hello world! June 24, 2011

Posted by bluedevil32 in Uncategorized.
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