It’s amazing how quickly the weeks go by in this pandemic time. Wherever you’re reading, I hope the lack of patience of the general public to rush outside was limited because in the bay area over the last 2 weekends, it’s the opposite. A rush of public places opening up brought all of the public in droves. Streets are crowded again and the freeways were packed through the weekend.
I posted earlier today about continuing to see webinars/conferences that are occurring remotely. This does increase access. But as far as engagement, I’m afraid for many, the reason for past attendance of the big conferences was the networking / interacting face-to-face. Also, there’s a staying power of people being in person. In reflecting on many of my own conferences, there’s the coffee chats each morning, the lunches of discussions, happy hours or dinners thereafter. These cannot be replicated in the virtual world to the same effect for many. It’s likely split – the increase of attendance by anyone anywhere is certainly a boon to the industry – wider spread of important and fundamental ideas/people is probably worth the loss. However, it’s a bit unfortunate in the spirit of the big conferences.
I’d be fascinated to see sponsorship groups, facility and hospitality adjustments to the different trend. DataScience Go was this weekend, which has had both remote events and annual treks to San Diego over the past ~5 years with excellent people. I’ve made quite a bit of virtual and real friendships from these events, and hope to be able to in the future. They had a solid platform with an Expo virtual room, “main stage”, as well as sponsored chats and hackathons. I do think that this was a good step in providing the opportunity to do many of the things we look for in reality – better could be the illusion of a real-world conference, maybe in augmented / virtual reality where you’re controlling an avatar and attending in a piece – 5 years maybe? Likely 10 for the areas that would need to catch up tech-wise. I’m hopeful.
Hope you enjoy the following notes – Naveed has progressed many companies forward that inspire future technology or movements into new spaces, Pauline Brown discussed LVMH and luxury retails control over items of want instead of need, as well as Cesar Kuriyama’s obsession with TED talks, building and design of 1 Second Everyday.
Naveen Jain, entrepreneur of 7 co’s (Launch Pad, Wharton XM)
Founder of Moon Express, Viome, InfoSpace
As we get older, part of aging to be human and why we should be sick
Yes – lifestyle diseases compared to being healthy (being sick as a choice, as well)
What is gut bacteria? Wrong – humans have more foreign cells than human cells from parents
Genes from parents are 22k protein-producing genes vs 40 tn microbes in the gut (viruses, bacteria, etc)
Those 40tn microbes/organisms produce 2 to 20 million genes (at best, 1% human)
Tuning your body and food testing repeatedly – can change every 3 months
Parkinson’s and microbiome, obesity, autoimmune, etc
Why is healthcare making money when there is a disease?
Nobody is making money – incentives don’t agree. Same with educatio.
Moon Express – high degradation, low gravity, and figuring out an interplanetary society
Wrong question – “How to grow food on planet?” to “What do we need to keep people alive on the moon?”
Energy may come from radiation, photosynthesis, nitrogen/hydrogen or something else
Too many people look at the symptoms of the problem compared to the root
Based out of Cape Canaveral, FL and has around ~35 people, Viome is 150 (Seattle)
Only company allowed to leave Earth orbit
Entrepreneurs will be the next super powers – first time in history where individuals are capable
Starting as passing the test in programming without knowing or having seen a computer
Phone interview and apparently aced it (byte vs bit – big and small) – before being sent from India to New Jersey
Never seen a non-white person there and he was an alien
Working on MS DOS 1.0 – wanted to get back to India and go back
Moved to SV after applying for an interview with Convergent Technologies
Faxed his resume – half a dozen companies
After a few years, he decided he wouldn’t be the best programmer – first microprocessors at Intel
Moved up to Microsoft in Seattle after a few startups, then OS 2 (“half the operating system”) as a program manager
Wanted to start InfoSpace because he saw that there would be a paradigm shift
Good at understanding what is coming up next – fundamental for companies doing business
Couldn’t see how MS could grasp how to see it in the construct of the company – too much to lose if it succeeds
Friday evening he decided he was done, resigned Microsoft – went home to his wife and she chewed him out [pregnant]
As an entrepreneur, most people want to focus on where tech is vs where it will be
2.5 years he took the company public, in 1999 – bigger than Boeing and others
Best you can do as you become an expert – can improve product by 10-15% but can’t do 10-100x better
Must fundamentally challenge the foundation of the question
For Moon Express – asked “why do people eat food?”, for healthcare not “What organisms in your gut?” but instead “what do the organisms produce?”
Come up with most disruptive idea that can help a billion people and multi-100 billion company
Ex: lack of fresh water, can solve it – help 1 billion – if you come up with filter and desalination, can feel really good
Why do we have shortage of fresh water? Agriculture – solve the root cause. Aquaponic, hydroponic, aeroponic to get more water.
Ask next: Where does agriculture water get used for? Majority is used to feed the cattle. Can do plenty of fresh water.
Take stem cell from cow – just grow muscle tissues, not eyes and otherwise.
If you’re successful with what you’re doing – is it going to actually help millions live their life?
Am I passionate or truly obsessed about it? “Passion is for losers” – if you don’t jump out of bed, you’re doing something wrong.
What are you willing to die for? And live for it.
If I had everything in my life, what would I do? And you can go get it.
Domains 1: The .com King with Rick Schwartz (StartUp Podcast 8/31/17)
May 1993 could call up ATT and get (800) numbers as ‘vanity’ numbers
1-800-makeout as a recording call chatline – owns the number and rents it out
He had $1/mo for 150 of the phone numbers, got a nice check for $7700
Domain name .coms after the phone numbers – December 26, 1995 – lipservice.com first
Used it to advertise his numbers after he pestered his brother for registering the domain names
Friend called him saying dick.com was available – got $200 in the first night
Domain collectors started secondary market – he bought porno.com for $42k
He offered $10k, 15k, up to 42k after kid had done $5k originally
Sold porno . Com for $9mil after collecting around $20 mil on the site with only “Enter Here” and selling it temporarily
Seat at tables of all kinds of domains – path dependency for .com (different is a bigger deal)
He has hotproduct, candy, ass, shoes
Tried to buy Gimlet.com originally – $43k at start, then $76k (or $5k down and $1k for 48 mos)
Owner of the registry was called and he knew the value
Since, they still own Gimlet.fm, .audio, .media
Domains 2: Sex dot com with Gary Kremen (StartUp Podcast 9/7/17)
1994 Stanford MBA and undergrad in engineer, internet seemed a good place for classified ads
Registered domains for all the places – housing, match, sex, jobs (.com)
Gets investors for Match.com and brings all domains to the company except for the primary one
Had a falling out with the investors and he left the company, plus the domains
Got a call from a friend in the industry who said he didn’t own the site – Stephen Cohen
Cohen had claimed he had received the domain via a letter from Kremen’s old address
Lots of issues with letter from typos and idea that a letter saying Online Classifieds (Kremen’s company) didn’t have internet
Legal defamation and suit back and forth
Cohen would make up stuff to tie up proceedings of dropping the case while legal fees signed up
Friends got tired of hearing it from Gary, except Cohen who would call him (Cohen believed that Gary had stolen it from him)
Gary was broke – lawsuits cost him a ton and started drug spiraling out of his mind
In 2001, won the suit as federal judge ruled in his favor – $40mn made and $25mn to damages for Gary
Dozens of companies offshore and money in his wife’s name – fled to Mexico before ruling and stayed
Gary went after Network Solutions (one who accepted forged letter) in 2002 and ruled in his favor in 2003
Digital property as domain and traced from this single lawsuit
He was owed a ton of money – 20% was his offer for information on his reward
Gary was able to collect Steve’s house (used to drive him crazy) in Rancho Sante Fe on 9k sq ft
Had ripped out all the wires, drawers, and it was a dump – Steve’s mansion cost a fortune with maintenance
Tries to reinvent himself as a porn entrepreneur – trying to play the part
Gets an offer to sell sex.com and he closes it – can’t let go though without getting the $65mn
Gary invited Tim, lawyer, over in 2005 – brought on as tracking down what Steve had
3 primary attorneys, 1 in Mexico, private investigator – 5 months and $200k in legal time
Look for assets in other parts of the world, Estonia, Norway, Bahamas, Caymans, etc
In 2005, Steve is arrested in Mexico and given to Border Patrol and sent to jail in San Diego
Pony up or don’t leave – refused to reveal money for more than a year, also deposed by Gary’s lawyers
Steve is released and sent back to Mexico – they have tabs on him for new businesses
Gary collected $14mn for the domain, house for $4mn and settlement from Network Solutions (~$12mn)
Steve lives on the beach and never paid a penny, while also living comfortably
Pauline Brown, former Chairman of North America for LVMH (Wharton XM, Marketing Matters)
Recent author of Aesthetic Intelligence: How to Boost It and Use It in Biz and Beyond
Steve Jobs had the clarity of a vision for the design
Aesthetic empathy as the emotional effect on people in design – not just judged by strength of processor
Have to start at the organizational level, not individual – if it’s not prioritized and embraced, it won’t continue
Low on EQ, his genius extended to the silhouettes, textures, materials – generally lifting the senses
Radio show called Taste Makers on Starz channel, English undergrad at Dartmouth before Wharton MBA
First job after Wharton – consulting in 1995 to Leveraged buyouts and private equity, at Bain
Moved to Estee Lauder shortly after they had gone public – Head of Strategy (one of two)
Strategy to move from home-grown brand with same models (US dept store-driven)
Move to different distributions, geographic roots and strategically acquire – M&A movement
1999 splash for Sephora (from France) – had mass vs class – clear differences between the two
LVMH has roughly 70 individual brands – almost all stems from Europe but US is largest market
Her role was the regional leader in a large market – take what could’ve been complex business to insight in others
Mobility of talent and other areas of underleveraged points
Between the 2 companies, $15bn (EL) and $40 bn (LVMH) produce 0 products that people actually NEED
If people were asked what they expected to see on the Paris Fashion Runway, it’d look nothing like what shows up
If you ask what a favorite restaurant is – you expect that the food is good
Won’t tell you that the lighting is so good, or the acoustics are so great, or utensils
She used the different glasses for wine as an example of what may draw the experience
With Apple Store – lighting of stores, choice of textiles/absence, windows as all glass
Navigation to the restaurant itself – CX
Awareness / Taste – differences for music, taste, style and career aspects
We numb our senses to get through the day – she does workshops to get back into senses
Chairs that force poor posture, fluorescent lighting (toxicity), buzzing or background sounds and awareness of others
Second step – interpretation, after awareness
How do you feel about the senses? Why do you feel that way? Some things are good, some things are unpleasant.
Rock music can be energizing to one, others may react negatively
Third Step – articulation (Steve Jobs)
Masterful at articulating with precision and command what felt good to him so thousands could execute on it
Hiring on a designer for their home, most people are too vague, imprecise or sloppy in communicating
Fourth – curation
Presenting at a store, menu coming together – CEO, presenting a story and visual accompaniment
Editorial command
Hosting a dinner and you want to make a great meal with 10 favorite ingredients, may not go together
Coco Chanel – elegance is refusal
Course of creativity at Wharton – some best results on creativity to inspire is with constraints
Rarely do the most successful people have the best style – once you have the means, you don’t really care
Easier to make decisions on constraints occasionally – cited some students that perform better there
Bruce Mehlman, founder at Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas (Behind the Markets 1/10/20)
One of biggest things – Chinese media co can come to US but not the reverse
Fundamental for way China governs, see very little chance for a resolution
Taiwan elections coming up – current president get re-elected (pro-independence camp)
Market in Taiwan was higher than S&P over the past year, will get elected priced in
Running against her – from Traditional Taiwan Party (original that left China in 1949) – considered non-establishment
Lost steam as we near elections – China would prefer him as pro-China, one-China/two-systems
Bruce’s opinion: size of China’s market and economic power is worrisome
Believed greater engagement of rest of world would lead to liberalizing and reform in China
Have seen rise of Western-type companies, technologically
We don’t see greater political freedom or cooperative economics by companies
National champions groomed to dominate across the world, rise of new power integrating without others
Graham Allison, prof of Harvard went back through history back to Sparta and Athens where rising power confronted existing power
12 of 16 were war, 4 of 16 peacefully
1 child policy result of demographic challenges – lead to massive aging workforce to retiree where they don’t have a safety net
Decelerating growth and pressure on Communist party – 2 choices: fault others abroad or become an integrated, trusted global partner
Perceiving an era of heightened disruption, financial collapse and angry at income equality
Couple that with technology, historic immigration and country changing faster than expected – then throw in politics
Gilded Age description of 1880-1900 parallels the current (income inequality, immigration with electricity, auto, railroad)
When system was built, it was 15 workers to 1 retiree, 5-10 years of retirement
Now, 2.5 workers to 1 retiree and 1/3+ of your life in retirement, along with not having full career path
More businesses started in the Carter administration weekly than now in the Trump admin
May need to reimagine policies and regulation for innovating
Rising prices may not be the only measure
How do we expand the winner circle? Superstar Economy by McKinsey
Right skills, edu, sector, city – never had more opportunity to be successful and command share of spoils
If most people don’t have this opportunity, they’ll vote for change/populace
Splinter-net – Bruce thinks we’re there and it gets worse
Core: goals of 3 regions are radically different – regionalized internet with these rules
Europe: protect people and very regulatory toward tech platforms (leaders in privacy, AI regulations)
US: empowering people, free speech (platforms with protection for users’ saying), tons of startups but maybe not protective
China: control, social credit scores, access to information and anonymity – successful in AI, TenCent, Alipay, Alibaba
Privacy of EU regulation – allowed Google and Facebook to grow market share because others can’t comply or afford
Danielle Cohn, VP of Entrepreneurial Engagement and head of LIFT Labs at Comcast (Wharton XM)
Further research
Cesar Kuriyama, creator of 1SE (Indie Hackers #141, 1/2/20)
Bootstrapping an app to millions through persistence
He’s been doing it for 8.5 years, each day
Background in visual effects and animation, agencies/advertising at the start of his career post-art school
Lots of media, thought he was CS – wanted to be an animator
Took some time in advertising to realize that he was executing others’ ideas, not his own, so became disenfranchised
Saw TED Talk of Stefan Sagmeister, also an alum of Pratt school in Brooklyn – Power of Time Off
Every 7 years, closes down his studio and does a retirement for a year – can do different things when young than old
Cesar would do 100 hour weeks on deadlines
Memory trigger as 1 second – not quite a photograph, still bonus of sound and wanted easy to rewatch
Can ALWAYS relive 6 minutes (1 year)
Day to day life was “being creative” in lieu of a brand or project
1 second everyday was to keep a journal where he wouldn’t stop after 3 days – video
Courtland did 6 months to take to himself – drained half his bank account and had to figure it out
Cesar came up with the idea – didn’t intend to squander a year off – how does he make a living on something he’s passionate toward?
First 6 months – not sure what he wanted to do, directed a music video in the past and in spare time
Techie, but wasn’t sure how to build the app – asked everyone for questions / programs / dev shops
This was 2012 – $100k dev shops where they said it was difficult
iOS dev meetups and blend in – make friends that way
He went to agency party that friend had invited him to – sat next to a developer at a shop
Was at their office (had just started after they quit their finance jobs – wanted to get biz) and met up
Wanted to make sure they could do it – he brought credibility, TED talk and their video – they could do $20k
He didn’t have $20k, he’ll launch the KickStarter to get the funding BUT he didn’t want to do it without a prototype
They agreed – launched in months and it worked – most backers ever, lot of press, 11k backers
January 2013 launch and 2 weeks after the ending of the KickStarter
He would watch the TED Talk of the Day everyday – Facebook posted about the first TED auditions
He needed to do it so he wouldn’t regret it later – counselor when he was in high school said to “Live to regret things you do, not didn’t”
1 minute – 60 sec video, included 30 seconds of his 1second everyday – they chose him and 17 others to speak at an event in NYC
Broadcasting his idea to everyone – not caring about those that steal or hack together a clone / idea
Execution is what matters and he paid enough attention and love into it
Built app, wanted it to exist and be on the app store – make enough money passively that he can use it to supplement other work
Terrible business decision – app was $1, 8k pledges were $1 – rest weren’t
$5 would have KickStarter backer section of 3-4k names in the credits of the app
Tried to create higher pledges for not a lot of work
At time, limited to 100 beta testers and he filled them quickly (or unlimited now)
50k downloads first day – support ticket per second – it was him full-time and dev shop part-time
First 2 years – “would finish the app” – don’t finish tech, always an update or feature
Liked comics growing up; interned at Marvel in college
Tweeted, was eventually in movie Chef because Jon Favreau enjoyed the app
He tweeted it off in the morning and Jon looked at his profile with the app, TED talk
All from because Jon said something nice about showing up to Iron Man 3 (after producing/directing IM1+2)
Immediate awareness of business – can’t do it himself, first couple of years – endless emails
Couldn’t answer support tickets because of time it took to fix the things they were about
Coming from art and different space, without business – not tech or Silicon Valley
Going to Tim Ferriss book signing at an Apple store – waited it out until 10 people were left
Don’t raise money, figure out a way to build without investors, a prototype (how he landed on KickStarter)
First year of tech ecosystem – privy to VC-land
Charging was weird, no tech developer/CTO was red flag, video wasn’t native yet
Not everyone meant to start a company, be an entrepreneur – scratch the itch, though
Consumes a lot, now very little excuses to start (30% of ideas estimate as without coding)
Moving from #17 in app store, #3, #1 in 2018 (then first week) – paid app – New Year’s was always big time
Made it free at start of that year with subscription tier
Revenue 2x (2018 – $2mn, 2017 – $1mn, etc)
Decided to raise without venture – Bryce Roberts, Indie.vc, Earnest Capital after recognizing need for more devs
13 in September and hired 7 more alone there – company retreat
Joel from Buffer also invested – wanted to emulate
If role of social media is to incentivize more scrolling so that they can show you more ads (engagement as metric)
He wants to bring max value for least amount of time – exactly what you wanted to consume in 5 minutes (vs 45)
Being acquired isn’t particularly a goal – private life for 7+ years for some
Notifications to turn them on – don’t need to know these instantly (1se does 1 a day / batch)
Created a habit for 1 second video – fix for friends/family and that’s it – Instagram as highlights
He has his 1SE video – would look to be meaningless if you watch others’, potentially
Ex: Apple email from “Best of 2019” that he posted a video recording
Social media as this generation’s fast food – probably worse for us than we believe
Maybe his will be 50 million people and not multiple billion
Who does he need to pay to not get targeted by ads? – Hopes for a better decade ahead
Find Venn diagram of what you’re capable of doing – if anything lingering in your head, have to start it
No limit to resources online – how to eat an elephant “one bite at a time” 2 years after he did the first TED talk
“Divide divide divide” – he grew up ashamed he couldn’t ride a bike because he was embarrassed
Ate at him all the time and jealous of bikers in NY – how does he start?
Needed a bike – (got a foldable one), could do a straight line, then went to just do that and brakes in bike lane
Would make a turn, another turn and within a year – he was that prick going between cars, as fast, thru red
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Entrenched. The longtime incumbents. When industry becomes too single-minded, others may start to notice. Each of these individuals from the podcast episodes are in very different industries – media/news, investing/venture, monetary policy system, and regulatory updating of provider-side healthcare. All very large, important systems that beget those that have lived the longest.
Each of the guests, however, saw opportunities in how stale an industry had/has become and attempted to take advantage. Whether that’s building something on their own directly (Jon Steinberg with Cheddar News Network) or indirectly (Gil Penchina with Flights.vc), they have a penchant for seeing innovation through. I loved hearing a few of them mention that it’s nuts to have the incumbents stagnate over some of the most advanced couple of decades we’ve ever seen.
I hope you enjoy the notes for how they structured the framework for the innovation, what opportunities they tried or came to realize, and which crazy people do you back.
Jon Steinberg (@jonsteinberg), COO of Cheddar News Network (Launch Pad, Wharton XM)
Large appetite for live news and sports, very few people had done any in 20-30 years
Younger, faster, better as a business network
Younger, diverse anchors & audience in their 20s, 30s, 40s vs 60s and older
First round raised was $3mln, no big iron of typical broadcaster – different look and feel, same structural format for guest formats
Former president of Buzzfeed (2010-2014), DailyMail after – CNBC and live production as the best production
Lightspeed Capital friend who wanted to give him a first check – being part of a startup management team that’s successful to go from there
His first success was with Buzzfeed – played a role with many others, but combined his luck and effort to get the check
Gave up 20% for the $3mil
Showed up at the WeWork with Peter Gornstein, first partner and Chief Content Officer – looked at each other and “What now?”
Bought computers, then what now? Looked for vendors for equipment and build set.
Shot a 3min sizzle reel – shot sample video packages.
Next, go live from 9-10am one hour a day, basically – then how to ramp it up to 3 hours and more
Facebook Live launched, then they enabled the API so they could connect professional network equipment to it
Carriage fees – ESPN gets several dollars for every cable subscriber
Cheddar does advertisers and partnerships for their money and business
Purchasing Ratemyprofessor, MTVU – college market and network
Competitors are part of the network and counterparties still
Runs all news and advertising for Altice (after being bought by Viacom)
Gil Penchina (@gilpenchina), Founder at Flight.vc (20min VC 2/7/16)
Note that this was the first day Harry had been to SF (meeting Jason Lemkin)
Network of AngelList syndicates that covers a wide range of sectors, SaaS, security, geographies
Biggest raise for syndicates to date – PayPal, LinkedIn, AngelList, Indiegogo – nominated for Angel of Year at Crunchys
One of early engineers at eBay (100 employees to 15000, 8 years)
Ran a spin-off of Wikipedia called Wikia – consumer content site, went to Fastly and angel investing
Wanted to work with entrepreneurs to fund small checks to other entrepreneurs as a community of helping
Didn’t want to do the full-time thing and thought he didn’t want to focus on terms all the time
At Flight, at time, they have 25 syndicate managers, 100+ volunteers to join the list – 2 groups – 1 analysis/learning companies, other sales/scouts
3000 backers and they ask them to help their companies, small tasks (AngelMob) to improve or give introductions and recruiting
5 years time – become a place for consumers to invest and save
Expansion fund and new projects – Eric working on traditional venture fund for follow-on in angel investments
15 years ago, cost $10-15mln to get a website now and now it’s $10 or free for URLs (Reed’s blitz-scaling)
Next sector to be disrupted – education (investment seed and B into Allschool)
Start a syndicate – come up with thesis, going out and finding the deals (1 click to start), getting traction is hard
Investment ethos – people that are actually crazy
User of Nuzzel – best content for all of his friends
Similarity of Happn to “Chance Encounters” from newspaper – hoping someone sees it and reacts
Patrick Harker, President of Philadelphia Fed (Behind the Markets, Wharton XM)
About 1/5 of jobs are at risk of being automated out – minorities and women in his district
Creating and destroying jobs with automation – not necessarily ridding them, but training will be important
Philadelphia Works – job training model for America, partnering with Comcast
Typically, it’s been “train and pray” – training and upskill, Comcast will reimburse out of the HR budget if successful
Biggest surprise – outside the lens of monetary policy – breadth of what they do is stunning
Largest collection of economic talent for all sorts of issues that aren’t celebrated
Pharma Drones, Veteran Health (16min on the News #14, 11/15/19)
Venkat Mocherla – market dev on bio team, GP Julie Yoo, Joel de la Garza security operating partner a16z
Pharmacy-patient relationship is highest volume/frequency interactions with healthcare system, owning node is good
Lots of startups on logistics on pharm, last mile and full-stack delivery/pharm, nontraditional care centers
Medicines/therapeutics work for patients, compliance is one of the biggest pains
MediPlus, Whatsapp your prescription and you can get delivery within 24 hours
Fastest regulatory arbitrage – where are opportunities – Zipline in Rwanda, for instance
Antiquated for brick-and-mortar to innovate, but instead mobile-first and digital distribution
Pills, small molecule drugs that are cheaper, chronic that can be easier
Last mile delivery solution is cost – one-off deliveries to patients to homes has cost issues – more expensive
All come to hub because of delivery efficiency
Apple opened up health records service to vets with iPhones – give them access to their medical information regardless of provider
VA is mired in healthcare challenges (came up with EHR)
Knock on digital health industry – great for pilots but unable to scale so far, VA and NHS populations are one-go scale
Not bastions of innovation but more captive population (1mil to 10-20mil)
Last decade, provider-side heads down for data that’s digitized but not interoperability
Get at the data is not a given, Apple unleashing data to consumers is great but is there utility in it? (no imaging data, limited)
Match data to patient, or doctors, scheduling appointments – technology for technology’s sake isn’t usually great
Voice commands as being sent by light – specific microphone design that’s vulnerable to the attack
Area of research to use frequencies of energy to affect systems – light to mimic sound, for instance
Advent of radio has been different research – cathode ray tubes, radio surveillance
Enabling hardware manufacturers to guard against this – microfilms or filtering fraud and security
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Hello! Hope Labor Day treated everyone properly, whether you snuck in some time-and-a-half pay for work, avoided it altogether or vacationed. I am going to keep the brief at the start short today because there’s a common theme. And I have been considering longer form writing without the notes on other topics maybe once or twice a week.
From last week – I still am working on the 13 Minutes to the Moon podcast – excellent. And it’s engaging as they went through the building and prep work that went in to getting there before decade-end.
The new segment that a16z has produced with the 16 minutes on the news has been fun, especially if you like an audio version of what’s been popular in tech/news. Sonal has done a great job leading most of them. I found the two that I listened it related to the title – transforming innovation. Software as eating the world (any company/product/service that can be digital will force the company to become software company), along with digitizing many of the slowest movers because the pressure has become high enough (re: Fed with ACH Now). At some point, in order to command more control or to make sure you aren’t disrupted out of the market, companies have to compete and give the customers or users what they want – faster, easier transactions in Fed Now’s initiative.
There were also some fantastic investors / founders that are included. How they developed and framed their careers to step from one thing to the next. If you noticed, many of the 20min VC episodes I listen to are in order from 2015 to now 2016. Fascinating to hear the comments made at that time to update to 2019 (as many of the same bullish comments are made with caveats that have yet to come to fruition – and valuations increased accordingly).
Hope you enjoy the listens!
13 Minutes to the Moon
Ep 05 – “The fourth astronaut”
Intertial navigation – if you have your speed and know where you are, can control where you’re going
Self-guiding ballistic missiles that couldn’t get thrown off course via radio or otherwise – knew where it was
GPS, primitive computer received navigations and could adjust course if necessary
Charles Stark Draper who founded MIT’s guidance instrumentation lab
Had been a grad of Stanford and went to MIT and became leading expert in aircraft instrumentation / guidance
Dedicated to the astronaut program, so much so that he applied – was turned down
Practical application with such sensors to be useful was his expertise – size / practicality in flight control systems
Had to convince everyone that the computers would work and be trusted
Apollo bought 60% of the chips that were out and being manufactured – huge boost for computer industry
Good hardware required good software (an afterthought)
Called on programmers for building the software Margaret Ate Hamilton (started as programmer, then was in charge as program manager)
Developed a system to write software so that it would be reliable and she sought out the bugs/errors – no way to do it otherwise
Right times vs wrong time, wrong data, wrong priorities (interface errors) – we take for granted everything we have now
No rules or field at the time (akin to “Do you know these English words?” – yes, you’re qualified)
Don Isles – math graduate looking for something to do next who joined in 1966, software had been written initially – app code to fly was starting
Lunar landing phase commanding – in retrospect, huge – but it was a job at the time
Apollo Guidance Computer – 70 lbs in 1 cu ft, 55 W with 76kb, 16-bit words, 4 kb were RAM R/W memory, rest was hardwired
Got to the moon on punch cards – 100 people working on it at the end – submit in one run overnight and run simulations
2 women that worked to keypunch before working as full-time – printed lines of code to turn into punch codes
Noun-verb inputs for flying – lunar landing, for instance
Built the computer interface with idea of “Go to moon” and “Take me home” but it instead had 500 buttons and was much more interactive
First system where people’s lives were at stake with it – fly by wire system. Astronauts didn’t control it, they controlled the joystick, etc…
Ep 06 – “Saving 1968”
Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin
Fed reaction (a16z, 16min on the News, 8/12/19)
FedNow – 24/7 open service for access to checks faster to launch in a few years
Half the population lives paycheck to paycheck and should care for the $30 overdraft fees that a ton of people do
Massive amount of losses to banks here in the US
ACH batches all payments in a day or maybe twice vs instant
Realtime payment network – 26 banks but need all banks to be a part of this network
Against Fed would say to just run the regulatory part vs the operational side
Obligate banks to join ACH, etc…
Infrastructure for checks has not updated to the tech advantages that we’ve gotten to now
Catching up to rest of world, which is 10 years ahead
Death of retail – Barney’s filing for bankruptcy, closing 15 of 22 stores
Been around since Great Depression
Ecommerce coming and direct to consumer is going toward market share
Highly leveraged fixed costs, inventory but can go sales to hemorrhaging money and become unviable
Grocery is largest single category of US retail, more than apparel and personal – completely immune to digitization historically
Inventory is better served close to consumer, physical grocery as distributed warehouse
Philipp Moehring, Head of Angelist EU (20min VC 1/6/16)
First European hire for Angelist since Jan 14, venture partner at 500 Partners and Principal at SeedCamp
Angelist Syndicate for his
Worked for a bunch of startups during his studies, but realized he didn’t want to work for a large company or consultancy like when he started
Worked for a professor that was doing research on VC – did his thesis on same topic, asked for data
Fulltime job came from a guy who went off on his own to start firm and he was asked to join
MBA in Tech Management and Tech Entrepreneurship, where management is very different there
Analyst and associate work can be a great job but it’s not a quick way to partner or anything
Seeing founders doing a second business after 7-8 years, even after do great and get raises
People don’t usually stay at their first job for 8 years but starting at VC, people will jump to a startup second
EU vs US scene – SV where VC started and is much more advanced, simply due to a lack of epicenter
Angelist looking to get into Series A (not necessarily leading, though) – movement
Certainly London for VC – number one ecosystem in Europe, as the largest metro area, tech and VC and money
Hard to copy for other places – culture, politics and what makes the city to be interesting
Berlin has the momentum as the number two, as well as Stockholm or in Finland, maybe Paris (inward), Lisbon and distribution of eastern Europe
$400mln funding for Angelist from CSC Upshot into syndicates – GPs investing directly
Does his 500 Partners role on the side – usually someone with investing on the side and has more firepower
Wants the deal flow or coverage in the areas they won’t have
Knows an entrepreneur and can get in the chance on seed or small amounts to invest in
Known the partners at 500 Startups for a bunch of years and could invest similarly to his Angelist style
Could be flexible and born out of the way the fund is positioned and investing
Most exciting for him is having people that he’s invested in hitting their stride and succeeding
William Gibson as a writer who influences his thinking, Snowcrash as a book that depicts the future
Looks more at science fiction for tech advances now
Most read blog – too many to count, Brad Feld – has a tool called SelfControl against social media
Phil Libin (@plibin), co-founder and CEO All-Turtles (Mastering Innovation, 8/8/19)
Discussing real problems with AI
Andrew Chung, Founder and CEO Innovo Property Group (Marketing Matters, 8/7/19)
Partner at The Carlyle Group, US real estate
Started IPG in 2015
Stefan Thomke, professor at HBS (Wharton Knows, 8/13/19)
Discussing his paper on magic stick of customers
Online experiments – running them quickly and decisively
Ivan Mazour, (@ivanmazour) founder and CEO of Ometria (20min VC FF 029)
Serial entrepreneur, author, investor – Ometria: predictive/marketing analytics platform
Born in Moscow, parents PhDs – mom brought him to UK to study math @ Cambridge
Started his first thing in property since that was biggest, public industry to get involved
Around 26, didn’t utilize any of his studies and data-focused nature, so he leveraged proceeds with his cofounder to make angel investments
Wanted to become relevant and learn about tech industry – made 30 investments in 4 years, stopped prop dev, did a Masters in App Prob
Refreshed knowledge to build a data company
Founding after investing – wrote a blog post as his approach to investment and his dream
Build a truly world-leading tech company but accepts lack of experience
Thought about how much capital to allocate to invest and how much to invest to be taken seriously – needs to be able to learn from it
Angel investor as $20-30k pounds
Received a second seed or extension round with Ometria – significantly bigger than seed, but reality is not enough for Series A
Hire more engineers, increase team from 20-30. But Series A would be to set up internationally and expand S&M
One-sided barbell – huge amount of funding on early, early stage investing
Anyone can work to get funding at early, small stage – lots of companies are vying for more eyeballs from bigger ones they need
At late stage, if you have the metrics, you’ll have the funding – growing 300%, hit $1m ARR and no question you’d get round, SaaS-wise
Launched as an ecommerce analytics company, wanted massive market for data – $3tn ecommerce and retail
Launching 2013, analytics was hottest thing (KPMG raised $100mln fund for this only) – by 2015 for big round Ometria, analytics wasn’t relevant/interesting
Fascinating to experience – marketing was far more important – actions engaging revenue and data, leveraged
First ones to come in were validating – people who he worked/invested with previously
Angels that were amazing, AngelLab’s Rachel that was meeting best founders and seeing best companies
Had tried to sell Phil as a customer on Ometria and he ended up investing – Alex is on board as 2nd largest institutional investor
Pitching angels vs other investors
With angels, he had engagement metrics, not revenues – introduced team and had beta user metrics (logging in 7x a day and loving it)
Four founders and engagement of platform that allowed closing of round
For VCs, chart of MRR that was up and right – increasing growth
Several funds liked the company and wanted to consider investing – said he should’ve held off, probably – got excited and continued conversation
Waste of time for both sides – hadn’t moved far enough on VC metrics to get a big enough investing for what you’re raising
Offline retail – stores won’t go away – thinks there will be an entire platform that will be an ecommerce platform that is based on personalization
Product recs, change website and order them – complicated and difficult – best platforms aren’t designed to do that – $1bn company
His highlight: sitting in his boardroom after increasing it, Elizabeth Ying (PayPal, head of D/S), Mike Baxter, Allie Mitchel (Huddle founder)
Looking around that they were talking about his company and making a few investments that he was CEO of and they had 10-20 years experience
Favorite productivity tools: ToDoIst, Google Keep for managing main reports, HangOuts
Favorite books: Rich Dad, Poor Dad as formulating a way of thinking, and Dale Carnegie’s How to Win Friends and Influence People
David Tisch (@davetisch), MP at BoxGroup, Inc (20min VC 1/11/16)
Also, cofounded Spring – brands to consumers via mobile with his brother, Allen
Coded as a kid, kept using the internet, entryway into internet and software – didn’t think of it as investor
Went to college and law school, became a lawyer and joined real estate finance in m&a but he did that for a year and wasn’t into it
Started a company, experimented and sucked – sold to a larger company and was there for 2 years at KGB
Went to TechStars – launched and run the NY program after he had made 3-4 investments
Cementing of the NY scene would be a magnet company like Amazon, Facebook, Apple, Google – huge magnet for talent
The Box in NY as a cool club that he hadn’t been to and his first investment was in a company called Boxy
A 20th employee is exponentially more valuable than a seed stage investor – tries to be an valuable investor, though
Magical utility or happiness for user or incredibly polished path to where you’re going – different from early days of mobile
Should happen soon – hasn’t happened since Snapchat/Tinder as consumer
Spring for him – exact opposite of sitting above the clouds as VC and strategy – incredible other side with his brother
Mall on your phone – 1200 brands directly (Etsy as maker’s story) – single mobile experience to make it better
Free shipping and free returns in 2015 for marketplace and working with their partners
VIP, customer service, making a single experience
Apparent that the opportunity was sitting there – he had told his brother “Don’t start a company”
Doesn’t read much – watches a lot of tv and consumes that as a way to learn
Finding his partner Adam at Techstars is probably the highlight
Reads online a lot – design blogs/architecture/city – Fred Wilson as successful VC in NY
Invested in SmartThings – sold to Samsung a couple years prior and built into products
Deep affinity for space, so he invested into Nucleus – video intercom in houses but it allows outbound, also
Uncomplicates the phone – primary thing on cell (voice, messenger and text bringing into house)
John Wirtz, CPO at Hudl (Wharton XM)
Coaching and products innovation – getting cameras at 50 yd line or in arenas
Not so much looking at point-to-point tracking or high speed for baseball, softball
More on tracking all high school players and colleges – uploading of highlights and working with coaches
95% coverage now
Software has eaten the world (a16z 8/18/19)
Marc and Jorge Condo discussing computer science and its eating healthcare
Term from his essay in 2011 after starting firm, tech industry is 70+ years old after WWII, packing $500 that used to be $10-15mln
Pessimism after recession – Marc held opposite opinion as just starting (platform built)
3 claims: any product/service that can be software product will be software (boomboxes, cameras, newspapers, etc…)
every company in the world in those products will become a software co
as a consequence of 1 and 2, long run the best software company will win
Incumbents in auto industry – cars are very dangerous, very hard and software companies think otherwise – value of car is in software (500 in 50 mi radius)
Surprising innovation fields: legal, insurance, real estate, education, health care
Never imagined investing in new car companies – new industry in 1890, 1920s Henry Ford
One new major car company attempt by Preston Tucker (Automotive – Tucker movie, catastrophe)
Went from hundreds in 1910s to 3 in 1920s and after
Profound technological revolutions as ML/DL/AI as incredibly innovative and cryptocurrency
Software founders for how to use and those that haven’t – can be quite transformative
Fundamental transformation with internet was music industry – triple whammy – people loved music (? Often dogs eat dog food? – not case in music)
Isn’t it great customers love music so much? They want the thing – showing consumption. Music executives said no. Suppliers refusing the demand increase.
Pricing issue – want 1 song vs 12 songs on label. Price-fixing collusion by the 4-5 labels. Could overcharge by factor of 10.
Consumers were breaking law but the correct reasons. Was immoral, illegal by price collusion.
Went from Napster, Kazaa, Limewire, Frostwire, BitTorrent (all investor catastrophes as too early since they couldn’t get pricing from labels)
Spotify as 15 years later where investors were scarred but time had come
When layer commoditizes, the next layer can become massively valuable – focus is on commoditized layer (contraction for recorded music purchases)
US market for live concerts grew 4x in aggregate demand – unlimited access to music, so fun is concert and experiences
Marc as serving on board of hospital – mission in terms of health care and medical research and school – nonprofit with highly motivated people
Design and build a new hospital – finally opening in 2019 (2005 green light)
Well-functioning boards that he sees as 7 people vs 25 or so in hospital
Quality problems in auto industry in 1950s / 1960s initially, unsafe at any speed – 70s/80s/90s was TQM – debug quality manufacturing
Medical compliance issues – 1/3 not filling prescriptions, 1/3 just take cocktails of them
Organ transplants are only 60% compliance
Assembly line requirements to motion – decode for running properly, maybe do that for hospitals and doctors – Purell, even
EMR at Stanford – $400mil one bid, $100mil to Epic and $300mil for implementation system Perot Systems
Interoperability and open source, building on everyone’s creativity (except Epic) and APIs
Eroom’s Law – price of bringing new device or drug to market doubles every 10 years – VCs in both decided the economic cycles were too different
Names now for VC are ones that aren’t the same big firms
Founders are different, as well – PhD in bio but programming since 10 or hybrid tech to pitch
Missing middle as converging of scientific domains and getting a16z’s new partner, former Stanford professor in the middle who helped spin it up
Digital therapeutics, cloud biology, IT applied to Healthcare
Defend market or advance innovate market but SV is starting from scratch – experiments in tech, or business (famous train wrecks)
Portfolio approach to experiments – 10 experiments in 10 different parts of biotech / industry – look at successes and asymmetric returns
If there are big companies that can do obvious things, they’ll be good at increment – industry does different ones
Need evangelical marketer or sales – Jobs’ saying how to envision the picture because consumers have no ability to project this
Elon’s Model S – no superchargers or charging at home – had to paint a picture to demonstrate it, get enough sales to build the chargers
Dan Granger, CEO founder of Oxford Road (Wharton XM)
Advertising in LA helping acquire new customers and branding
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Happy New Year’s, everyone! Hope people had a safe, relaxing and fun holiday. I also hope it provided some time to pause, reflect and wondering for what has happened and what may come in the next year.
I’ll preface my notes by informing you that they are short snippets, as you’ll observe. This was not necessarily by design, but necessity. I listened to a higher number than I should have in this week, as I needed to procrastinate – for what, you may ask? – for my MBA Final exam. Knowing how much drop-off in any online programs there is, I was hesitant in sharing this with others. Hate to tell someone you started something and then pause it, right? I sit here, now after receiving my Smartly Institute email saying I’ve completed the program and should receive the MBA Degree shortly!
For those curious about the online program, reach out! Or maybe I’ll sure the exit survey that I am supposed to complete here.
Getting to my notes / snippets of what I listened to during that week, check below! I do think I’ll go back and listen to a couple of the segments fully because I found them very interesting. Whether it was strategy for Hasbro and eSports’ future or the author of Loneliest Generation or the Brightseed founder – some very interesting research and data being collected and reported on for whatever tickles your fancy. Whatever you may in interested in, there are plenty of overlaps. Know this.
Hasbro/Wizards strategy for esports, how DnD came about, Magic, (Work of Tomorrow, Wharton XM)
Magic was a request on finding a game between DnD games – revolutionized with trading card game
Trying to get them to think bigger and get rid of imposter syndrome
Develop their 8 pillars
Network by talking 1 on 1 with established mentors in the program
Mene founder (Wharton XM)
Talking about the gold standard – Reagan’s temporary mission, haven’t come off
Inflation has been resigned to just sticking with the faux environment we’re in now – printing money
If gold wasn’t a store of value, it wouldn’t have risen from $30 – $1200+
Cotopaxi Founder, Davis Smith (Wharton XM)
Why SLC? He and his wife were deciding between Seattle and Salt Lake City – she chose SLC (having grown up in Seattle)
Created tribe / community of supporters
In Korea, someone shouted across the way Cotopaxi – to which he informed them he was the founder
Validation for what he had been working to create (although network effect bigger than anticipated)
Owning the omni-channels and why he chose D2C (virtual presence a la Warby Parker, Away, etc…)
Online and then a retail presence to own their own brand, before moving out to partner with places that help them reach others
Had to sell via Amazon as well to own that channel (otherwise someone would definitely be selling on that channel)
Partner with REI and other retailers in order to gain visible traction with places that had strong digital presence
Not the full catalog, but a few of the higher margin SKUs
Talked about how Vans originally rolled out to skaters/surf shops – top of pyramid before moving down to Zumies (frequented by those)
After a long while, they’re finally selling in JC Penny’s and others like it (well-established brand first)
Vertical digitalization above and then has a very lean business on the other side (outsources much of the fillers, suppliers, distribution)
He knows what he knows and then learns from those he works for – lets them do their thing
Author of Future Politics, Jamie Susskind (Wharton XM)
Why do we insist on allowing politicians to not be knowledgeable in digital age
Odd that these are legislators attempting to update the digital companies
Should be obvious that we ask the people creating regulation should be involved in the technology that they’re attempting to design around (apparently our votes say otherwise)
In just returning from Chile and having my 29th birthday, I did a ton of reflection over the last 2 weeks. Long flights, new places, peaceful heights & coming of age will force you to do this, if you don’t pause on your own to do it anyhow.
A word: metacognition – dictionary.com has this as “higher-order thinking that enables understanding, analysis, and control of one’s cognitive processes, especially when engaged in learning.” I prefer a simpler “thinkingaboutone’sownmentalprocesses” .
Why do we do what we do? Some just act instinctively. Others act and then question why they acted. Yet there are some who will think, then act. There is a process by which everyone goes about their actions and thoughts – very few reflect on this process. Even fewer that look to change it for the better. Learning to think, approaching problems, coming up with solutions. Producing insights that can push forward or analyze why processes should be different.
In visiting with neighbors on my flights, shoulder-to-shoulder in immigration lines, Chilean natives, South American transplants from neighboring countries and visitors from across the world, there was a different consensus among the lot of them. Everyone had someplace else to be. Each person as different as the next. It was peaceful to not catch a news segment, comedy remark, or overhear a conversation about the active politics of the day. It’s overwhelming in the states, needlessly – and more importantly, rampant with misinformation which makes the deluge of politics ripe with uninformed, unintelligent thoughts. 7 days away – I believe I caught a single newspaper that had Trump on the cover and CNN one morning at the hotel mentioning a brief, 2 minute segment. Granted, I wasn’t looking for the conversations or seeking newspapers/tv’s, but still – there was some peace. Friends who have traveled abundantly over the past year to Europe/Canada/others have anecdotally mentioned that as one of the first things that arise in taxis/Ubers/people that become aware of a US citizen in their presence. No such bad luck in Mexico (my layover) or in Chile once I was there. There were more entertaining or productive discussions to be had. I’m sure this is a part of where one can direct a conversation, as well. People should be more cognizant of this, though I’m afraid politics have now dropped into the pantheon of ‘effortless’ conversation along with “how’s the weather?”, “did you see X” and a general “how’s work”?
Hopefully, as people grow and become more successful and comfortable in their lives, they would want to contribute something back – knowledge, money, mentorships and more. Often, there’s a line drawn between impact and how large of one can be made. This is less important, however, than making an impact regardless. We can make an impact in your core community – neighborhood, town or city, business community. Expand that out to affect multiple cities or a region – think Elon with LA’s tunnels, subway/metro/public transportation, bag ordinances or green movements – smart cities will eventually become a larger look as we go forward, as well. Outside of bigger projects like mentioned above, we can start a group or meet-up that gains members from the community in question – contribution of ideas that can go beyond infrastructural concepts.
Thinking larger (but not in the sense that it has to be bigger impact-wise), connection across counties, states, or the nation is important but more difficult to scale. Industries or sectors can be defined and aided by any one group or person that makes an impact beyond the immediate cases and permeates the outreaches from there. Then we have global scales – whether it’s advancing some technology or standard and bringing it to areas that may be impacted greatly with progression. There are tons of examples of all of these scales. People have different passions and shouldn’t be restricted or forced into doing something that doesn’t spark a fire in them to improve their lives (and hopefully, helping some others that they have a connection to in the process).
We live in a world where information is at our fingertips, a swipe and drag away on our phones. Barriers to entry continue to fall across all spectra. Get excited, people! Help yourself to help others.
Some things that I am jumping into and ones that I would love to hear ideas/talk to others about:
– mentorship with high school / college-level students with finding a passion or question ideas for how to progress forward
– a fun application to make it easier to connect local restaurants/bars with customers about their happy hours using OCR / Image-to-text from menu photos to populate database
– starting an investment fund that focuses on avoiding the nearly unavoidable ‘home bias’ as well as matching risk tolerance with proper returns – focusing on international availability and risk profile of uncorrelated assets
– new thought: possible website/application that will take multiple starting points (friends that live apart from each other) meeting at some location / flight destination in between for reasonable prices — multi-optimized Skyscanner/Hopper
– Payments/Vendors/AP/AR organizing software that will reduce burden and difficulty for companies with nontechnical backgrounds / capacity for process to be so intuitive that it won’t require more personnel or capital invested
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While attempting to grind through a recent valuation project, I spoke with a friend about how we had changed over the years. Change is obviously something that most people experience, but how we reflect is often incredibly different. Some don’t. And to that, I’d say that I feel badly for them. Others do, but maybe not to an extent of “what did I do today – oh, that. Yes” — an acknowledgement more than a reflection. For those that reflect, ponder, and wonder why, or how to fix any occurrence that didn’t agree with them – those people are the ones who truly learn and can push themselves to better.
Learning is not hearing, memorizing, and repeating until information is no longer needed. Seek to learn. Provide yourself with a framework that you can apply the knowledge in, and build questions to hypothesize further in that space. We learn if we’re more interested, obviously, but you can build that interest. Challenge yourself. Honestly, I harp on myself for this, but it is discouraging to see people repeatedly not want to apply or seek knowledge in what they may/may not be interested in.
This all seems appropriate in this instant gratification/click-bait/24/7 news cycle period. Confirmation and recency bias run rampant. Few people question their sources or the information sources provide. When more people are in higher education, critical thinking SHOULD be a focus of almost all institutions, but it apparently falls by the wayside, especially when something agrees with your train of thought. It’s difficult to seek other sources, and even harder to avoid some form of a bias in answers. Everyone forms an opinion. Only through conversation and open discourse can you start to inform yourself of questions and answers in the framework of a solid argument. Then build up!
Presented with new facts that are contrary to what was gathered initially? Review them in the new light but your former framework – seek true results and apply. If the application of new knowledge reveals a new paradigm, then shift your hypothesis. People shouldn’t be wary of changing – invite it if your thought process is rigorous! Without a rigorous argument, though, it won’t matter whether you agree with others or don’t, because you won’t be vital to a conversation for more than 2 minutes unless it’s group-think.
It pains me to see straw man fallacy as a defense mechanism all too often these days. That isn’t worth a breath of counterargument by someone presenting logical context and thoughts. Critical thinking.
People have passions different than others. We are our own individuals at the end of the day. But we accept this. There’s not a single person who can be all-knowing about everything. Even if that were true, priorities wouldn’t align for those individuals with others. Some people focus on health – some people on education, others in finance, businesses. There isn’t a right or a wrong. Problems are rooted in a cause. Ask the questions about the cause. Maybe if that’s agreed upon, then solutions can be gathered, debated and decided upon merit. Throwing solutions at an unknown problem – this is no good. Context can be more important than the solution – otherwise you’re blindly tackling. Using medicine as an example – if you have pain in your arm and go to the general doctor, or let’s say an extreme: arm specialist – then you may get a response of “nothing appears wrong”. However, if you go in saying you’ve eaten unhealthily or had a family tree of cardiac disease, the doctor would hopefully put together that you need to see a cardiologist. I don’t want to go on forever (and I’m aware that this was a very LOOSE example – bear with me).
Context. More information. Questions. More details. Then a decision, an opinion, a solution. Then re-assess. Always be learning.
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Many great resources in all the current tech-hubs: SF & Silicon Valley, Los Angeles, Austin, and expanding those. Cuban makes a good point that people and ideas are easily created now in almost every area. There are places in the country that have MORE resources — events, companies, VC’s, funds, but building can be done everywhere (Cuban mentioned when he visits IU, he can stay in contact with them).
With less and less companies going public (mentioned ~9000 publicly listed in 2008, but < 4000 now), people are either scared of going public, or are getting their payouts directly from bigger companies (Cisco, Facebook, Amazon, Microsoft, Google, etc…).
Digital ad revenue for FB and Google – 85%+ market share. NFLX and AMZN are 2 biggest shares – hasn’t sold yet. Content providers – Disney, Netflix, and Amazon…. not many others. CONTENT is very difficult (Cuban mentioned Enron doc and winning awards, along with Good Night and Good Luck — hasn’t done any successful since). Content is the most difficult to maintain – very difficult to get past that giant hurdle, and these companies have the money to get above it.
Eventually got into a political discussion – using news / reactions / tweets to respond. HOW do we respond? Communicate and be patient – tough to change minds or reason – noted 52% of eligible voters didn’t vote. Trolls and dealing with internet comments – control public/private responses on twitter? Twitter must be hard-coded otherwise. Cuban mentioned an app that he’s going with – soon, machine-learning or machines will deal with the curation of information and conversation in digital platforms.
Talking about video – 7 year old son wanting to play flag football / baseball and how different it is now. Esports / watching vs watching tv (sports). His son didn’t want to watch sports / baseball / football, but wanted to play. There’s no indoctrination or religion for it anymore as we grew up on (and Cuban’s era earlier). Gaming as a big advantage in expanding NBA reach – NBA 2k and professional aspect of them since players have a deeper involvement / knowledge of the league with gaming.
The overall theme for today (not just this interview) – how can we get more young people interested in building out great ideas? The future of technology is rapidly accelerating but ideas will still be needed from the smartest people. Education seems to nerf expansive ideas – boxes people in that may be more capable, restricting opportunities. In my opinion, this is a huge flaw in the system overall.
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There are hundreds of thousands of people that have good & great ideas. Many of them work for someone else and don’t take action on those ideas. Some of the ones who have good ideas take them and try to build something. Not all succeed. The ones that do often had plans or people they could reach out to help them with a plan. Then they attempted/carried it out. The ones that succeed often add value many times over.
Why is it different for elected office? Running for office should not simply be based on the platform of ideas you wish to change / better / create, but HOW candidates plan to put that in action.
Actual plans. Business plan. Who is needed to help enact them / what is done / how to put it plan in motion / stakeholders / pros / cons. Sure, this would take time up front, but I believe that it could reduce the time to impact once someone was elected.
Let’s take an example. “Infrastructure must be improved” is a general positive thought and I don’t believe any candidates are against that. However, the latest research I’ve read said that of the funds designated as infrastructure-related, only 5% actually are used for ACTION in that frame. The rest is spent on funding boosters / change orders / unions (not exclusively).
Now, do I believe that a majority of voters would read through these plans? No, but of anyone that does, they would be better well-informed. And, debates or interviews could bring up the questions from people that did read through them and see holes or improvements or issues, to hopefully allow for a publicized process into the plans presented.
Until I see a candidate for ANY office lay something out like this, I’ll refrain from giving any vote of confidence or otherwise. Oh, and for any Bernie supporters that believe his site lays this out – it’s a step in the right direction, but not to the detail that elicits true action.
What do you think? Or is all of this just lip service?
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